Infogol analyst Jake Osgathorpe is back with the best bets across Europe after going three out of four last weekend, using expected goals (xG) data to select a nicely priced weekend fourfold- According to the bet soccer tips page!
Goals at La Ceramica
Villarreal vs Getafe
Saturday, 17:30 GMT
Villarreal picked up a fantastic three points last weekend, as they went to Sevilla and picked up a win, though they were fortunate to do so according lớn expected goals (xG: SEV 2.29 - 1.61 VIL).
The Yellow Submarine ended a six-match winless run with that victory, and they have been unfortunate this season, sitting 13th in La Liga but 7th in our xG table.
They rank as the second best attacking team in the league according to expected goals (2.08 xGF per game), but they do allow chances (1.55 xGA per game), making them a really entertaining team lớn watch.
Getafe have been excellent again this soccer handicap tip, with their 2-0 win over Real Valladolid (xG: GET 1.95 - 0.54 RVA) last weekend meaning they have won seven of their last 10 La Liga games, losing just once in that time.
Their process has improved drastically as the season has moved on, but away from home, they are more vulnerable 1.25 xGA per game, with their dogged style meaning they do hang in games and create chances.
Infogol sees this as a very entertaining game between two good sides, and we calculate a 55% (1.82) chance of BTTS here, making the 2.02 (49%) on offer the obvious value play.
Gladbach to win again
Hertha Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Saturday, 17:30 GMT
Jürgen Klinsmann looks to have got a tune out his Hertha Berlin side in recent weeks, as they come into this game on the back of successive 1-0 wins over Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen.
They kept both games tight, with few chances at either end of the pitch, but defensively they are still far from convincing, allowing an average of 1.66 xGA per game - a worry as they face the third best offense here.
Borussia Mönchengladbach bounced back from a disappointing defeat to Wolfsburg last weekend with a comfortable win over Paderborn in midweek (xG: BMG 2.74 - 0.58 PAD).
Marco Rose's side have been sensational this season, and sit second in the table behind only RB Leipzig, with a very impressive process, especially in attack (2.26 xGF, 1.46 xGA per game).
Infogol thinks Gladbach will be too much for Hertha lớn handle here, giving them a 45% (2.22) chance of getting the win, making the 2.32 (43%) available a sensible bet.